| 논문명 |
공공임대주택 입주계층별 주택수요추정 방법 연구 / Housing Demand Estimation Method for Public Rental Housing - Focused on Happy House - / 행복주택을 중심으로 |
| 저자명 |
김진유(Kim, Jin-Yoo) ; 이창우(Lee, Chang-Woo) |
| 수록사항 |
주택도시연구, Vol.07 No.03 (2017-12) |
| 주제어 |
주택수요 ; 공공임대 ; 취약계층 ; 행복주택 ; Housing Demand ; Public Rental Housing ; Vulnerable Group ; Happy House |
| 요약2 |
The purpose of this study is to develop a resonable estimation method of public rental housing demand for vulnerable groups. The procedure includes 5 stages. At the first stage, new housing demand of vulnerable groups is estimated by target group including university students, newly married couple, young workers, and elders. Second stage calculates demolition rate of existing housing by the previous years statistical trends. The disappearing housing units are added to the new demand because destruction causes alternative demand. The third stage reviews housing units supplied by the other projects within the study project period. The number of units will be deducted from the new demand. At the fourth, net demand is estimated by subtracting competitive supply from the demand. Finally, the price elasticity of housing demand is applied to the net demand. The case study shows that the newly developed housing demand procedure of this study makes totally different results compared to the existing estimation method. The number of housing units estimated by various vulnerable groups are different from that of traditional housing demand methodology such as Mankiw-Weil model. The results imply that target group demand estimation needs more detailed data and procedure rather than simple approach like population based estimation model. |
